Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Auburn Tigers vs. Arizona Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e805d2d68bb0316bc07f361813b931c193ea5247161f0694d1aa7e7d062b3af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Wildcatsof Auburn Tigers, Arizona Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x781c…db68backed Auburn Tigers | 15c | 3,000$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.78 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Auburn Tigers | 12c | 1,104$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.16 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Auburn Tigers | 16c | 1,078$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.87 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Auburn Tigers | 19c | 924.38$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.74 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Auburn Tigers | 18c | 800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Auburn Tigers | 20c | 737$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Auburn Tigers | 15c | 726$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Auburn Tigers | 16c | 600$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Auburn Tigers | 14c | 542.75$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Auburn Tigers | 20c | 511.92$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.38 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…5420backed Auburn Tigers | 11c | 498.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Auburn Tigers | 18c | 345$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6517…8413backed Auburn Tigers | 18c | 343.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Arizona Wildcats | 80c | 305$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Auburn Tigers | 15c | 304$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Auburn Tigers | 18c | 297$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Auburn Tigers | 15c | 281$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4570…4532backed Arizona Wildcats | 80c | 275$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Auburn Tigers | 15c | 269.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…28d4backed Arizona Wildcats | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Auburn Tigers | 19c | 236.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Auburn Tigers | 15c | 200.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Auburn Tigers | 15c | 187.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Auburn Tigers | 22c | 185$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Auburn Tigers | 17c | 177.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Auburn Tigers | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Auburn Tigers | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Auburn Tigers | 20c | 60.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.