Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ea530c846565158ec7278ac9cebe0b50463682efee3b50bd037c9be25a43b03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennessee State Tigersof Tennessee State Tigers, Western Illinois Leathernecks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 64c | 2,119$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.17 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 27c | 1,034$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.34 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 43c | 816.17$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.85 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks | 37c | 400$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Tennessee State Tigers | 71c | 308.95$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.82 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Tennessee State Tigers | 62c | 275$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.75 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Tennessee State Tigers | 45c | 249.9$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.29 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Tennessee State Tigers | 74c | 215.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 15c | 150$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 65c | 125$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tennessee State Tigers | 78c | 104.56$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 30c | 89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks | 27c | 82.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 73c | 81.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks | 28c | 54.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tennessee State Tigers | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Tennessee State Tigers | 70c | 23.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Tennessee State Tigers | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Tennessee State Tigers | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tennessee State Tigers | 70c | 15.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tennessee State Tigers vs. Western Illinois Leathernecksthis page
- Spread: Tennessee State Tigers (-6.5)Tennessee State Tigers won
- Tennessee State Tigers vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks: O/U 147.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.