Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Bianca Elena Barbulescu vs Marta Lombardini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eba84b091c95e2dd1ecd2c8dfbae4b29b5906e68cd859b4e98b5de1c45487b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marta Lombardiniof Bianca Elena Barbulescu, Marta Lombardini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Bianca Elena Barbulescu | 33c | 6,572$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.56 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bianca Elena Barbulescu | 7c | 3,465$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.87 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bianca Elena Barbulescu | 6c | 2,098$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.87 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Marta Lombardini | 67c | 1,316$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.6 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Marta Lombardini | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marta Lombardini | 67c | 1,157$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.55 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Marta Lombardini | 67c | 538.72$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.57 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Marta Lombardini | 66c | 450$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Marta Lombardini | 67c | 450$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Marta Lombardini | 70c | 255.6$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Marta Lombardini | 67c | 227.62$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Bianca Elena Barbulescu | 34c | 56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Marta Lombardini | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marta Lombardini | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Marta Lombardini | 70c | 14.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.