CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs TNT - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ec6b57b79cba39d673a1402236a107840d3071d7efaabaab3920960b8d88d3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TNTof Rune Eaters, TNT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 2,647$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.26 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 2,533$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.94 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked TNT | 50c | 1,656$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.22 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed TNT | 55c | 1,435$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.85 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 1,012$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.22 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 890.21$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.32 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TNT | 50c | 691.54$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.22 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x212e…791abacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 612.33$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.47 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 478.82$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.31 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 356.68$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.1 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed TNT | 60c | 346.5$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.07 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TNT | 72c | 325.97$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.18 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TNT | 69c | 307.36$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.54 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 288$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.86 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked TNT | 65c | 266.23$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.31 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Rune Eaters | 6c | 215.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 214.65$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Rune Eaters | 26c | 196.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed TNT | 46c | 195.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.46 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rune Eaters | 26c | 181$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 146.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 129.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -8.1wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 108.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed TNT | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed TNT | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked TNT | 71c | 68.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked TNT | 51c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed TNT | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed TNT | 70c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TNT | 67c | 53.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked TNT | 60c | 53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 52.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 44.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 30.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed TNT | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed TNT | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…0a78backed TNT | 66c | 20.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…1584backed TNT | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked TNT | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs TNT - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs TNT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 PlayoffsTNT won
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs TNT - Map 2 WinnerTNT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.