TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs TNT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TNTof Rune Eaters, TNT
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,087
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,072

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,087 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4b59…3aa6backed TNT45c2,763$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.1785358.3%497 W · 356 L+60.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked TNT47c2,659$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.8984454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed TNT58c1,308$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.8349646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Rune Eaters55c827.05$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.911646.6%54 W · 62 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Rune Eaters53c824.41$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.5485946.1%396 W · 463 L-1.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d1…6b91backed Rune Eaters54c718.5$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Rune Eaters53c715.73$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.3429044.8%130 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Rune Eaters55c707.64$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.24332.6%14 W · 29 L-6.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a05…3ef2backed Rune Eaters54c584$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.36955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Rune Eaters53c583.08$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.034837.5%18 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-33%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x01d1…4c79backed TNT46c559.27$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.01666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+46.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked TNT46c509.45$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.5422938.4%88 W · 141 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Rune Eaters45c502.13$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.961,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed TNT44c475.66$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.052,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed Rune Eaters56c472.89$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.827245.8%33 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1234…c1bbbacked Rune Eaters49c459.82$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.544721.3%10 W · 37 L-8.1wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-44.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed TNT46c446.29$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.9765254.3%354 W · 298 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed TNT56c429.28$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.8345565.9%300 W · 155 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Rune Eaters53c413.44$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.131,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Rune Eaters55c408.91$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.323653.8%127 W · 109 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea5…85a6backed Rune Eaters54c370$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79b9…ba2cbacked TNT46c362.85$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.941154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked TNT48c360.95$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.6936253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Rune Eaters54c359.06$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.456647%31 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Rune Eaters55c353.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.621052.4%110 W · 100 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed TNT50c351.06$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.785,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x212e…791abacked Rune Eaters53c350.57$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.262755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed TNT49c341.62$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.184,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed TNT45c334.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.418752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Rune Eaters54c318.02$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4517758.2%103 W · 74 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Rune Eaters41c303.76$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0846843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x668d…e471backed TNT47c290.48$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.325352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed TNT76c254.87$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.156,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Rune Eaters55c234.51$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.987940.5%32 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters37c209.06$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.325,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c90…cd7bbacked Rune Eaters6c186.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7314728.6%42 W · 105 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab8d…6fe9backed Rune Eaters55c169.53$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.243046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Rune Eaters58c154.02$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3354348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d7…f131backed Rune Eaters56c150.25$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2333451.5%172 W · 162 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Rune Eaters50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,04139.9%415 W · 626 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Rune Eaters53c146.69$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.743246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed TNT52c142.31$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3128960.6%175 W · 114 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rune Eaters49c137.84$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.241,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb379…28fabacked Rune Eaters9c133.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.597234.7%25 W · 47 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed TNT46c131.87$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9419653.1%104 W · 92 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked TNT38c123.89$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8175356.8%428 W · 325 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Rune Eaters37c122$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4331328.4%89 W · 224 L-21.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Rune Eaters54c121.56$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8548635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Rune Eaters62c116.29$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.119948.7%97 W · 102 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed TNT46c108.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5633352.6%175 W · 158 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed TNT46c99.53$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.754555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Rune Eaters19c99.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0420455.9%114 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Rune Eaters52c98.07$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.733,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f1…3fd9backed Rune Eaters50c97.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.49875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked TNT50c97.47$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9812746.5%59 W · 68 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6722…865fbacked TNT50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.527754.9%152 W · 125 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d6…108dbacked Rune Eaters25c95.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.882737%10 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c77…6747backed Rune Eaters45c87.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1211230.4%34 W · 78 L-16.7wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe253…b9c7backed Rune Eaters28c85.57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.966842.6%29 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Rune Eaters58c84.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.743548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c1…b6f3backed Rune Eaters54c83.61$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.15955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+55.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Rune Eaters53c79.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3991648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed TNT58c75.56$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.932,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff7…4176backed Rune Eaters54c74.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.675046%23 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Rune Eaters36c70.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.182,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Rune Eaters58c66.77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee4…471fbacked TNT47c63.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8635752.9%189 W · 168 L+22.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Rune Eaters35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2164439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x893f…6a2dbacked Rune Eaters54c54.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+62%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Rune Eaters49c53.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1239946.4%185 W · 214 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea37…94f3backed TNT46c52.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4632951.7%170 W · 159 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Rune Eaters52c50.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4252951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Rune Eaters50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2538753.2%206 W · 181 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Rune Eaters53c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.524850.4%125 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Rune Eaters52c48.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.287244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6094…e237backed Rune Eaters54c48.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked Rune Eaters51c43.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.368248.8%40 W · 42 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed TNT46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.677346.1%356 W · 417 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfef…5b77backed TNT75c39.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed TNT66c38.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2ff4…d735backed Rune Eaters34c37.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.844122%9 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Rune Eaters55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4626454.2%143 W · 121 L-19.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Rune Eaters55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4633657.1%192 W · 144 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6408…d6bebacked Rune Eaters55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4640%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed Rune Eaters55c35.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2717153.2%91 W · 80 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Rune Eaters51c34.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8278043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…e3bbbacked TNT76c33.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.141861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed TNT78c33.4$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2753055.5%294 W · 236 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Rune Eaters53c33.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.594247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked TNT47c29.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7328856.6%163 W · 125 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed Rune Eaters55c29.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0537050.5%187 W · 183 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed TNT78c28.79$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.422,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked TNT51c28.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8129555.3%163 W · 132 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked TNT49c28.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2310950.5%55 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked TNT51c27.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3226037.3%97 W · 163 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1e…522fbacked Rune Eaters53c27.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.364042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee05…d6ccbacked Rune Eaters52c26.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.994438.6%17 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed TNT51c24.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1976248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x907b…1177backed Rune Eaters53c20.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed TNT51c19.61$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6110655.7%59 W · 47 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.