Asian League · resolved market
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-07-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3efd504d71e535632f3e2c339408b40f74e170a83f38c60d4e27dbff98ae34b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 1,812$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.87 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…165cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,407$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 1,377$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.99 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 1,306$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.94 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 1,225$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.11 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 1,080$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 5c | 1,023$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 12c | 961.61$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 8c | 868.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 29c | 427.38$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 291$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.39 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 30c | 198.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 16c | 184.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 24c | 176.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5909…9c8cbacked Yes | 9c | 170.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce32…c4cbbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 17c | 141.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 7c | 139.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 71c | 120.85$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 71c | 87.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 72c | 76.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 71c | 69.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 66.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…dc22backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…8517backed Yes | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 45.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 29c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 29c | 43.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 70c | 22.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 18.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 75c | 18.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 71c | 16.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 16.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 78c | 13.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-07-25?this page
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-07-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.