CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f1db67559a566b85ec3e65e0455e17e4b74bcf36ad0c32f8b4b1b2a97d947ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hashirasof Hashiras, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hashiras | 47c | 4,219$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.55 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 54c | 2,172$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.45 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 40c | 2,014$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.65 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 996.36$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.87 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Hashiras | 56c | 894.84$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.68 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Hashiras | 46c | 850.79$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.82 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 607.18$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.9 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bushido Wildcats | 51c | 499.9$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.33 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 334.71$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.38 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Hashiras | 55c | 289.55$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.79 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 256.04$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.21 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Hashiras | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Hashiras | 59c | 140.07$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fa…26d9backed Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 128$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…54b3backed Hashiras | 57c | 85.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Hashiras | 52c | 70.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hashiras | 49c | 64.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Hashiras | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Hashiras | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc854…1979backed Bushido Wildcats | 56c | 53.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32bb…8addbacked Hashiras | 60c | 41.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 41.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…14fcbacked Hashiras | 55c | 36.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Hashiras | 58c | 31.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Hashiras | 43c | 26.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 26.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…88f6backed Bushido Wildcats | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Hashiras | 52c | 19.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Hashiras | 73c | 17.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Play-InBushido Wildcats won
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.