CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56831ae7fa9d444edec6533d9d8182d88a5d31d3936fa1365d6037d8fa436175
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Hashiras, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hashiras | 52c | 1,671$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.42 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5209…474fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 57c | 1,246$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 45c | 1,161$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.39 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Hashiras | 56c | 894.84$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.16 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 679$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bushido Wildcats | 43c | 500.28$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 408.93$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.63 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 381.62$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.08 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Hashiras | 50c | 377.08$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.45 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Hashiras | 38c | 345.51$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.12 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2469…4812backed Hashiras | 37c | 317.26$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.88 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 51c | 308$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.84 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 277.52$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.4 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Hashiras | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 183.7$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…098abacked Hashiras | 47c | 168.53$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Bushido Wildcats | 21c | 152.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Hashiras | 48c | 136.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Hashiras | 44c | 136.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…14fcbacked Hashiras | 41c | 110.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked Bushido Wildcats | 26c | 91.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Hashiras | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Hashiras | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 82.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Hashiras | 31c | 75.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Hashiras | 52c | 70.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Hashiras | 57c | 65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Hashiras | 52c | 60.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Hashiras | 32c | 60.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…73d0backed Hashiras | 69c | 57.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Hashiras | 37c | 57.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bushido Wildcats | 53c | 56.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Hashiras | 39c | 40.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Hashiras | 62c | 33.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Hashiras | 52c | 25.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Play-InBushido Wildcats won
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 WinnerHashiras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.