Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f29ea1690011692f0d7ad0e42fa0fda95fb9829fcf8d9d2d85195c458891205
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 48c | 3,908$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.84 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed Under | 48c | 3,485$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Under | 48c | 2,913$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.31 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.99 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 53c | 1,472$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.84 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97c…ca21backed Under | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 52c | 1,065$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.44 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Under | 49c | 1,022$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.71 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 52c | 1,000$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 47c | 924$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.08 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…1db2backed Under | 48c | 890.92$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.12 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -16.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Under | 47c | 617.02$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Under | 47c | 367.69$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.81 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Under | 48c | 345.93$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.27 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 48c | 95.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Over | 54c | 25.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?this page
- Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Team WE won
- Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)LNG Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-InTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 WinnerLNG Esports won
- LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 WinnerLNG Esports won
- LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 4 WinnerTeam WE won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.