Asian League · resolved market
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f4aee4f0bd42c560dbc0bd1ce71f7af824e265312731cf81bb2cbc6191b054d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 2,296$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.98 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 78c | 1,729$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.18 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 26c | 1,400$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.36 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 42c | 473.81$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 26c | 299.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked No | 67c | 292.96$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 50c | 270.74$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.37 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked No | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…56fdbacked No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfac9…14e8backed Yes | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed No | 37c | 133.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 49c | 61.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 66c | 50.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked No | 76c | 50.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 33.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 50c | 32.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 67c | 29.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 63c | 25.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed No | 63c | 21.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…8b53backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 74c | 14.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Machida Zelvia (-1.5)FC Machida Zelvia won
- Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5)FC Machida Zelvia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.