Tennis · resolved market
Monza: Maks Kasnikowski vs Luca Van Assche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f72edf5e170d680da3aed0bb77bb442d00393fbe1a368ca4df17c31d802c1bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luca Van Asscheof Maks Kasnikowski, Luca Van Assche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Maks Kasnikowski | 11c | 12,893$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.8 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maks Kasnikowski | 12c | 12,167$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.94 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Maks Kasnikowski | 10c | 11,728$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.48 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maks Kasnikowski | 13c | 2,480$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.58 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Maks Kasnikowski | 12c | 1,276$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Luca Van Assche | 76c | 920.42$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.95 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…e392backed Maks Kasnikowski | 9c | 621.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 24c | 526.48$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.35 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maks Kasnikowski | 15c | 523.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Maks Kasnikowski | 12c | 333.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Maks Kasnikowski | 9c | 298.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Luca Van Assche | 76c | 226.79$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Maks Kasnikowski | 22c | 208.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maks Kasnikowski | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Luca Van Assche | 75c | 199.21$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…34d0backed Maks Kasnikowski | 26c | 192.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 25c | 140.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Luca Van Assche | 74c | 132.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Luca Van Assche | 76c | 131.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb32…787dbacked Luca Van Assche | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Luca Van Assche | 77c | 128.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Luca Van Assche | 76c | 123.33$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Maks Kasnikowski | 11c | 114.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Luca Van Assche | 76c | 110.59$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Luca Van Assche | 80c | 103$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 18c | 99.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 13c | 89.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 17c | 87.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Maks Kasnikowski | 17c | 81.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Maks Kasnikowski | 25c | 77.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Luca Van Assche | 74c | 59.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Luca Van Assche | 76c | 45.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7a…2488backed Luca Van Assche | 76c | 38.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…c884backed Luca Van Assche | 76c | 28.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Luca Van Assche | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…9d7cbacked Luca Van Assche | 76c | 22.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…8237backed Luca Van Assche | 76c | 21.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 165 | 60%99 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Luca Van Assche | 74c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Monza: Maks Kasnikowski vs Luca Van Asschethis page
- Maks Kasnikowski vs. Luca Van Assche: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Kasnikowski vs AsscheAssche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.