Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f86c357b81ca4ec487d50bd46fefc2915f87f86690bdac9f964978abdaa3307
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ba8…d72bbacked Over | 39c | 2,911$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.08 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 61c | 2,222$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.57 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 63c | 617.71$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.55 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 62c | 599.98$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.99 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Under | 76c | 440.77$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Under | 74c | 399.11$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.79 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 37c | 307.31$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.27 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 25c | 305.54$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.01 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 37c | 278.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.89 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Under | 63c | 271.91$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.61 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b98…d011backed Over | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 37c | 144.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Over | 37c | 141.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Under | 76c | 130.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff73…d0dfbacked Over | 39c | 124.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 61c | 116.53$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 38c | 101.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 38c | 100.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Under | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 63c | 68.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…799ebacked Over | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 46c | 34.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 203 | 48.8%99 W · 104 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…0149backed Under | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…8617backed Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Under | 62c | 29.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 38c | 28.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Under | 71c | 20.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 76c | 15.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Dplus KIA won
- Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Dplus KIA won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.