Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Lily Taylor vs Chia Yi Tsao
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f8b6fc552d241268993a9c5e43a65abb88a10c8d6e27708c56b989ebe4801cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lily Taylorof Lily Taylor, Chia Yi Tsao
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chia Yi Tsao | 31c | 8,864$2,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.82 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lily Taylor | 67c | 4,659$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.78 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lily Taylor | 70c | 2,475$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.5 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Lily Taylor | 78c | 1,274$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.25 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Lily Taylor | 67c | 942.18$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.86 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lily Taylor | 70c | 864.98$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.48 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Chia Yi Tsao | 54c | 674.09$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.98 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chia Yi Tsao | 22c | 280$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Lily Taylor | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Lily Taylor | 67c | 167$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Lily Taylor | 67c | 154.59$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chia Yi Tsao | 29c | 138.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Lily Taylor | 68c | 83.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Lily Taylor | 67c | 73.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Lily Taylor | 68c | 63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…d44cbacked Chia Yi Tsao | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lily Taylor | 74c | 40.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lily Taylor | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Chia Yi Tsao | 43c | 31.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lily Taylor | 73c | 30.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Lily Taylor | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Lily Taylor | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…ab8fbacked Lily Taylor | 67c | 16.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Lily Taylor | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.