Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wels: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Matthias Ujvary
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fd6a8e4d2a9aeb5378e06b3d78960b1157415140d8e2293b306505c69157d9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matthias Ujvaryof Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini, Matthias Ujvary
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matthias Ujvary | 77c | 2,818$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.15 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Matthias Ujvary | 48c | 2,544$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.54 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | 18c | 2,098$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.86 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | 28c | 1,516$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.8 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | 52c | 1,329$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.01 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | 51c | 847.98$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.37 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Matthias Ujvary | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Matthias Ujvary | 51c | 396.44$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | 50c | 391.74$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.87 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | 49c | 345.45$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.37 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | 44c | 298$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.62 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | 44c | 263$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | 29c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Matthias Ujvary | 56c | 117.66$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Matthias Ujvary | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Matthias Ujvary | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | 52c | 79.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Matthias Ujvary | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Matthias Ujvary | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | 28c | 49.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | 29c | 40.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Matthias Ujvary | 75c | 28.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | 51c | 27.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Matthias Ujvary | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…0a65backed Matthias Ujvary | 73c | 24.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.