Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-04-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ff96c665cac217832d200337de83e32228a3504869a4f1efebb56fcea0b5860
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 69c | 3,018$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.7 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 70c | 1,122$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.54 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 33c | 930.05$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.23 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 26c | 604.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.7 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 33c | 476.5$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.25 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 11c | 298.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 238.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa202…9b12backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 26c | 105.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…476ebacked Yes | 30c | 83.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 73c | 79.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 27c | 59.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 29c | 41.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 31.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…6476backed No | 69c | 29.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 71c | 27.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed No | 77c | 24.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 15.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 73c | 14.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-04-29?this page
- Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-04-29?No won
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock vs. FC Machida Zelvia end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.