Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Velež Mostar win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x400efbc7bf0d8223bfad345aa52ec41f83ed6814d6cb4a26668da2f257445ece
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 1,240$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.4 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 975.31$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.07 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 25c | 485.44$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.75 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 461.39$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.35 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 446.28$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.82 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 394$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 26c | 305.77$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 187.06$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 138.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…b60fbacked Yes | 26c | 116.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 25c | 105$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 23c | 100.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 25c | 91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 76c | 72.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 23c | 69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes | 24c | 54.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 73c | 28.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9e…48cdbacked No | 74c | 20.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 77c | 15.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Velež Mostar win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda win on 2026-07-30?Yes won
- Will FK Velež Mostar vs. FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.