Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Luisina Giovannini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4013d33a412b0ab1336d2fe1eb784c336592c8c64b48f50e50820953c5722ece
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ashlyn Kruegerof Ashlyn Krueger, Luisina Giovannini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Ashlyn Krueger | 62c | 8,500$5,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,230.07 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Luisina Giovannini | 38c | 6,924$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.17 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…81ecbacked Luisina Giovannini | 25c | 2,100$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ashlyn Krueger | 75c | 1,130$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.86 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Luisina Giovannini | 40c | 1,002$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Luisina Giovannini | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Ashlyn Krueger | 74c | 821.87$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.06 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Luisina Giovannini | 15c | 711$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.69 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Luisina Giovannini | 30c | 526.18$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.33 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Ashlyn Krueger | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Ashlyn Krueger | 62c | 403.23$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.16 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Luisina Giovannini | 38c | 402.66$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.93 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Luisina Giovannini | 29c | 369$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.38 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Ashlyn Krueger | 80c | 336$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Luisina Giovannini | 39c | 326.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.09 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Luisina Giovannini | 31c | 252$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Luisina Giovannini | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Luisina Giovannini | 27c | 177$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ashlyn Krueger | 59c | 139.7$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ashlyn Krueger | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Ashlyn Krueger | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 208 | 65.9%137 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Ashlyn Krueger | 78c | 129.59$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Ashlyn Krueger | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Ashlyn Krueger | 62c | 95.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Luisina Giovannini | 32c | 93.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Ashlyn Krueger | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Ashlyn Krueger | 66c | 75.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Ashlyn Krueger | 59c | 67.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Luisina Giovannini | 38c | 63.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Luisina Giovannini | 29c | 54.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Ashlyn Krueger | 73c | 54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ashlyn Krueger | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Ashlyn Krueger | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Ashlyn Krueger | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Luisina Giovannini | 40c | 47.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Luisina Giovannini | 24c | 43.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…9f78backed Ashlyn Krueger | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2d…8a14backed Ashlyn Krueger | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Luisina Giovannini | 38c | 26.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Ashlyn Krueger | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…185fbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3c…6751backed Ashlyn Krueger | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.