Earnings · resolved market
Will Goodyear Tire & Rubber (GT) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40215432cd54921ccb3c7160b153d4fea38f556debb291c2d0abb50f7178e9d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 1c | 3,501$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 7cpaid | +324.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 37c | 671.88$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.98 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 62c | 536.48$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.33 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba51…ff35backed No | 65c | 400$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.05 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 64c | 288.55$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.67 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8598…199fbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9a71backed Yes | 66c | 255.56$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 21 | 95.2%20 W · 1 L | +6.7wins | +0.32per pick | 63cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x67df…772fbacked No | 72c | 205.72$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x731a…04bdbacked Yes | 36c | 189.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…fb06backed Yes | 37c | 188$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 29 | 89.7%26 W · 3 L | +7.2wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 25c | 149.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.05 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…2e68backed Yes | 38c | 130.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.11 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…b463backed No | 68c | 126$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…e4e1backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x564b…8ba2backed Yes | 35c | 100.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 38c | 78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…1f3fbacked No | 56c | 71.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…8fa9backed No | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f24…12efbacked No | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81c8…97b8backed Yes | 37c | 53.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0530…d8febacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…9890backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked No | 67c | 39.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 32c | 31.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3029…0ab1backed No | 65c | 30.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…d7e4backed No | 70c | 28.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed No | 64c | 20.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a5…ec07backed No | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.