Euroleague · resolved market
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Jiangsu Dragons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x403af8f02beb85f4f04e62f3e5411ef88516a92cb4274477e2257ae4cb61e766
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jiangsu Dragonsof Beijing Royal Fighters, Jiangsu Dragons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jiangsu Dragons | 48c | 673.07$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.84 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Jiangsu Dragons | 12c | 425.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.8 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jiangsu Dragons | 13c | 159$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.85 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 13c | 150$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 46c | 127.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -8.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 14c | 127.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…ee32backed Jiangsu Dragons | 53c | 112.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 52c | 96.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…4c99backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 59c | 94.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Jiangsu Dragons | 68c | 88.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38a…c465backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 60c | 88.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 33c | 82.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 42c | 79.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Jiangsu Dragons | 15c | 70$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +577.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 39c | 65.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab9a…cb7bbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 53c | 46.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Jiangsu Dragons | 57c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jiangsu Dragons | 41c | 34.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 61c | 31.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 53c | 28.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…60a0backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 50c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 61c | 24.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.