Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast, Women: Warwickshire vs Hampshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4062d4393efc7f97136c67eb5935845f2a161c7520cb1c2fb46a17b0de1b16ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hampshireof Warwickshire, Hampshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Warwickshire | 43c | 1,152$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.94 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…7705backed Warwickshire | 36c | 1,130$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hampshire | 58c | 389.14$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.49 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Warwickshire | 49c | 323.29$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.55 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Warwickshire | 35c | 301.85$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93c…16f3backed Warwickshire | 37c | 298.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.41 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hampshire | 56c | 277.81$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.97 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a99…40d8backed Warwickshire | 46c | 250.87$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.58 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hampshire | 68c | 187.62$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hampshire | 56c | 184.18$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Hampshire | 46c | 172.39$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.08 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Warwickshire | 52c | 158.81$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Warwickshire | 42c | 158.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Hampshire | 46c | 157$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Warwickshire | 52c | 107.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Hampshire | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Warwickshire | 45c | 74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Warwickshire | 43c | 73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Hampshire | 33c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +5.4wins | +0.45per pick | 39cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Hampshire | 60c | 21.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Hampshire | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Warwickshire | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.