Tennis · resolved market
Midland: Gabriela Lee vs Lea Ma
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40645203148bd5a5a51158b71c9e314ef3144cddd25874e4f1ee9dd7b107a174
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leeof Lee, Ma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Ma | 31c | 5,216$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.95 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Lee | 47c | 5,092$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.52 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lee | 76c | 1,931$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.83 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lee | 61c | 1,901$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.81 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Lee | 63c | 1,529$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.11 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Ma | 63c | 1,505$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.49 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ma | 18c | 1,368$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.42 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Ma | 27c | 1,259$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.56 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Ma | 73c | 1,117$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.32 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Ma | 48c | 867.16$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.92 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ma | 22c | 600$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Ma | 30c | 494.33$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.84 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Ma | 59c | 430.73$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.99 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ma | 30c | 332$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Ma | 29c | 251$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Ma | 77c | 224.68$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Ma | 24c | 183.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Ma | 32c | 171.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lee | 47c | 156.2$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Ma | 31c | 142$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lee | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ma | 80c | 88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ma | 20c | 70.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lee | 53c | 60.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Ma | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Lee | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Ma | 31c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Ma | 79c | 45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Lee | 35c | 38.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…37d3backed Lee | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 142 | 72.5%103 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…b8d0backed Ma | 60c | 19.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Ma | 73c | 19.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…002bbacked Ma | 78c | 16.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.