Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Pepperdine Waves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40700252cd9db4c3a94250ae64025985eef71827dfd4a9546a4ebd00058b8d59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abilene Christian Wildcatsof Abilene Christian Wildcats, Pepperdine Waves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 49c | 7,443$3,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,831.73 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pepperdine Waves | 52c | 3,669$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.64 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 52c | 1,656$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.85 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pepperdine Waves | 47c | 1,649$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.32 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pepperdine Waves | 48c | 1,070$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.72 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pepperdine Waves | 50c | 921$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.5 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pepperdine Waves | 48c | 895.46$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.82 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pepperdine Waves | 48c | 428$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.44 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 49c | 416$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.55 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 68c | 327$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pepperdine Waves | 52c | 203.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 46c | 203.54$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.91 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 48c | 203.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Pepperdine Waves | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Pepperdine Waves | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pepperdine Waves | 55c | 194$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Pepperdine Waves | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Pepperdine Waves | 31c | 115$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…4b4dbacked Pepperdine Waves | 53c | 113$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Pepperdine Waves | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 50c | 35.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 48c | 27.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 19.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.