Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs ZennIT (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40839cd41c6a100d79c250263929e393cfb5c60a1f0516f2d393a2d021497a4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Frites Esports Clubof Frites Esports Club, ZennIT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x050f…ad08backed Frites Esports Club | 77c | 7,526$5,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Frites Esports Club | 78c | 3,448$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.03 | 409 | 70.2%287 W · 122 L | +30.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed ZennIT | 23c | 1,526$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.04 | 1,014 | 47.6%483 W · 531 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed ZennIT | 23c | 1,391$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.72 | 1,056 | 50.4%532 W · 524 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed ZennIT | 23c | 1,367$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.63 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed ZennIT | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.94 | 435 | 43.2%188 W · 247 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2208backed ZennIT | 21c | 1,200$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.7 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5f…555ebacked ZennIT | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e7…ac8ebacked ZennIT | 20c | 737.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 150 | 42.7%64 W · 86 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed ZennIT | 24c | 628.29$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.79 | 1,182 | 44.8%530 W · 652 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed ZennIT | 24c | 628.29$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.79 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed ZennIT | 20c | 471.7$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked ZennIT | 23c | 357.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 340 | 40.6%138 W · 202 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked ZennIT | 20c | 348.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 304 | 37.8%115 W · 189 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ef…7d38backed ZennIT | 18c | 274.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1f…c18fbacked ZennIT | 18c | 249.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked ZennIT | 23c | 233$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 420 | 42.4%178 W · 242 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Frites Esports Club | 79c | 226$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked ZennIT | 24c | 208$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ZennIT | 21c | 150.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Frites Esports Club | 79c | 126.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed ZennIT | 19c | 102.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 587 | 55.4%325 W · 262 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked ZennIT | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 609 | 43.2%263 W · 346 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked ZennIT | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 198 | 44.4%88 W · 110 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed ZennIT | 22c | 68.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 168 | 41.7%70 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed ZennIT | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Frites Esports Club | 77c | 43.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc780…40a4backed Frites Esports Club | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…c227backed Frites Esports Club | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 82 | 81.7%67 W · 15 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs ZennIT (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Frites Esports Club vs ZennIT (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular SeasonFrites Esports Club won
- LoL: Frites Esports Club vs ZennIT - Game 1 WinnerFrites Esports Club won
- LoL: Frites Esports Club vs ZennIT - Game 2 WinnerFrites Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.