Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85399202122c7e316193e16c7e644d91813c7181fd5efad70190abe3a07a1a01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x050f…ad08backed Under | 79c | 3,530$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 435 | 43.2%188 W · 247 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 19c | 1,043$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.73 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 33c | 1,018$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.31 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7213…d92cbacked Under | 80c | 1,006$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 18c | 906.88$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.27 | 184 | 36.4%67 W · 117 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 23c | 750$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 471 | 36.9%174 W · 297 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 58c | 709.65$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.29 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 22c | 503.31$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.73 | 1,182 | 44.8%530 W · 652 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 22c | 503.31$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.73 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Over | 19c | 263$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 19c | 256$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 560 | 34.8%195 W · 365 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Over | 18c | 176.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 19c | 174.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 246 | 43.1%106 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 20c | 151$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 22c | 124.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 17c | 121.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 304 | 37.8%115 W · 189 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Over | 33c | 110.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 196 | 37.8%74 W · 122 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…6576backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Over | 33c | 88.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 269 | 39%105 W · 164 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 19c | 76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 201 | 36.3%73 W · 128 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 22c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Over | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 198 | 44.4%88 W · 110 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 18c | 59.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 168 | 41.7%70 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…040fbacked Over | 19c | 54.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 78c | 26.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs ZennIT (+1.5)Frites Esports Club won
- LoL: Frites Esports Club vs ZennIT (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular SeasonFrites Esports Club won
- LoL: Frites Esports Club vs ZennIT - Game 1 WinnerFrites Esports Club won
- LoL: Frites Esports Club vs ZennIT - Game 2 WinnerFrites Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.