Asian League · resolved market
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40c292e21c5ef8104fcf027f49d383af5f811e1a72adaf0e9f473632a47efa5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 36c | 2,669$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.01 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 73c | 2,414$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.7 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 1,401$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.31 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 38c | 615.16$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.76 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 40c | 575.49$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.88 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 37c | 546.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 57c | 526.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.31 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 513.93$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.01 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked No | 65c | 513.35$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 45c | 444$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 352.31$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 57c | 350.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.87 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 61c | 323.99$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.06 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 63c | 314.88$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.53 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 64c | 211.06$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 35c | 195.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed No | 74c | 193.24$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 66c | 183.01$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 58c | 171.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 14c | 164.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 55c | 157.18$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 150.72$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 64c | 141.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 46c | 91.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 61c | 85.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 54c | 85.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd305…a873backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 82.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 51c | 74.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 65.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…476ebacked Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 75c | 61.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked No | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 28c | 53.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 52c | 52.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 40c | 50.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 64c | 44.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 40c | 44.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 60c | 39.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 42c | 34.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed No | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 64c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…79ebbacked Yes | 47c | 26.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed No | 64c | 23.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 22.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a01…c0f7backed No | 64c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 53c | 18.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. FC Mito Holly Hock end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.