Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Kecmanovic (-1.5) vs Feldbausch (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41513610e4db5a0e757a79a9899e0ef3ae1af44f1fabecd3b499bf957d4e58bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feldbauschof Kecmanovic, Feldbausch
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Kecmanovic | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Feldbausch | 43c | 799.84$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.28 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Kecmanovic | 56c | 697.15$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.26 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed Kecmanovic | 55c | 425.75$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.01 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Feldbausch | 53c | 396.79$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.49 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…c0e9backed Kecmanovic | 47c | 346.47$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Feldbausch | 53c | 345.39$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.51 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Feldbausch | 39c | 226.31$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.05 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Kecmanovic | 42c | 220.29$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…2a32backed Kecmanovic | 47c | 202.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Feldbausch | 52c | 143.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Kecmanovic | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Kecmanovic | 70c | 110$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Kecmanovic | 47c | 102.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Feldbausch | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Kecmanovic | 48c | 88.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 347 | 48.1%167 W · 180 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Feldbausch | 58c | 85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Kecmanovic | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Kecmanovic | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Feldbausch | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Feldbausch | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Feldbausch | 57c | 20.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Kecmanovic (-1.5) vs Feldbausch (+1.5)this page
- Feldbausch vs. Kecmanovic: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Feldbausch vs. Kecmanovic: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Kilian Feldbausch vs. Miomir Kecmanovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 2 Winner: Feldbausch vs KecmanovicFeldbausch won
- Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir KecmanovicMiomir Kecmanovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.