Tennis · resolved market
Valencia: Dusan Lajovic vs Christopher O'Connell
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x417dc97a45dfa1ae77605687234800345c25d31ed5f7487b20c92ba33ca4811c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dusan Lajovicof Dusan Lajovic, Christopher O'Connell
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Christopher O'Connell | 7c | 20,085$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.81 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Christopher O'Connell | 3c | 15,920$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.59 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Dusan Lajovic | 77c | 1,644$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.86 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Christopher O'Connell | 15c | 990.13$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Christopher O'Connell | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Dusan Lajovic | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Christopher O'Connell | 27c | 457.75$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Christopher O'Connell | 39c | 431.88$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.43 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Christopher O'Connell | 22c | 383.34$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Christopher O'Connell | 9c | 379.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Christopher O'Connell | 12c | 343.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Dusan Lajovic | 60c | 330.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.79 | 217 | 58.1%126 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Dusan Lajovic | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Christopher O'Connell | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Christopher O'Connell | 8c | 252.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Dusan Lajovic | 74c | 220.19$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Dusan Lajovic | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.05 | 910 | 50.2%457 W · 453 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Dusan Lajovic | 79c | 199.18$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…5d8ebacked Dusan Lajovic | 79c | 196.58$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Christopher O'Connell | 36c | 151.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Dusan Lajovic | 79c | 145.84$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5b79backed Christopher O'Connell | 15c | 134.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 15.6%32 W · 173 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Christopher O'Connell | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Dusan Lajovic | 79c | 87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Christopher O'Connell | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Dusan Lajovic | 62c | 61.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 836 | 61%510 W · 326 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Dusan Lajovic | 59c | 60.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Christopher O'Connell | 28c | 58.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Christopher O'Connell | 22c | 56.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Christopher O'Connell | 39c | 53.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Dusan Lajovic | 61c | 51.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Christopher O'Connell | 41c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Dusan Lajovic | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 313 | 66.8%209 W · 104 L | +27.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Dusan Lajovic | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 179 | 57.5%103 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed Dusan Lajovic | 76c | 35.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 197 | 61.4%121 W · 76 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Christopher O'Connell | 39c | 33.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Dusan Lajovic | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Dusan Lajovic | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…011cbacked Dusan Lajovic | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Dusan Lajovic | 80c | 24.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 676 | 78.7%532 W · 144 L | +49.5wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Dusan Lajovic | 61c | 22.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…40c2backed Dusan Lajovic | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 74cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Dusan Lajovic | 62c | 18.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Dusan Lajovic | 61c | 17.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Dusan Lajovic | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.