Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x419e2f5a32c8fab5399e3048f2a778af6e0520b0eae3f3ccf2731fed6d721eab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1660…5598backed No | 72c | 5,560$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.8 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 29c | 5,097$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 5,089$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.82 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Yes | 29c | 2,865$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 2,534$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.01 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 29c | 1,141$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 725.51$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.4 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed No | 72c | 631.94$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 587$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.36 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 452.41$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.18 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f63…4fe9backed Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 29c | 345$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 29c | 340.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 4c | 284.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 29c | 220$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 29c | 147.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 140.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9f…b8cebacked Yes | 29c | 112$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 70c | 86.69$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 71c | 79.21$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 72c | 74.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 72.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 72c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 25c | 63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c1…0cffbacked Yes | 29c | 60.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…f400backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…616cbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…0944backed Yes | 29c | 48.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 71c | 47.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4030…8b5ebacked Yes | 29c | 47.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 30c | 44.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x624c…25f3backed No | 72c | 22.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae39…3253backed No | 72c | 19.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf622…8749backed No | 72c | 19.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x753f…d672backed No | 72c | 19.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x979a…468cbacked No | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7647…68b1backed No | 72c | 18.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e1…b491backed No | 72c | 18.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…da1cbacked No | 72c | 17.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked No | 72c | 17.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d1…4b1dbacked No | 72c | 15.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75be…9a9ebacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?this page
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-02-22?No won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.