Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa702952d5e49c268ae2bcfba7e2cfea579decfb8fbb3d8b12c18622a7e0c0fe5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Yes | 32c | 2,865$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 1c | 2,859$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0652…9134backed Yes | 1c | 1,383$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 68c | 950$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 694.97$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.54 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 32c | 627.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.96 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed No | 68c | 560.29$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.29 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 68c | 540.72$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.44 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 50c | 487$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.5 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 22c | 416.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.02 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed No | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 278.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 53c | 276.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.06 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 32c | 270$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 58c | 261.45$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.81 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 55c | 221.31$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 133.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 32c | 110.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 68c | 110.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 68c | 93.32$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 87.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 46c | 81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed No | 70c | 57.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa89…0b05backed Yes | 32c | 53.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 69c | 52.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 78c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed No | 72c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +94%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…616cbacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8554…43e1backed No | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 33c | 39.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Yes | 32c | 31.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed No | 69c | 29.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x979a…468cbacked No | 55c | 21.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…780dbacked No | 69c | 21.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…f17ebacked No | 69c | 16.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a28…c488backed No | 69c | 16.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?No won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.