Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: VCU Rams (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41d265a0effa497db8fdf718c2a5f1db8c435affbb0e99fb5e8c3388755fd88b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duquesne Dukesof VCU Rams, Duquesne Dukes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,251 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Duquesne Dukes | 54c | 5,433$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e9…a60cbacked VCU Rams | 45c | 4,809$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked VCU Rams | 49c | 699.66$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.67 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Duquesne Dukes | 57c | 695.73$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.17 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed VCU Rams | 51c | 583.09$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Duquesne Dukes | 57c | 575.02$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.26 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked VCU Rams | 46c | 550.44$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.25 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Duquesne Dukes | 55c | 540.28$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.13 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked VCU Rams | 47c | 421.82$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.26 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Duquesne Dukes | 52c | 381.18$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.93 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked VCU Rams | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed VCU Rams | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Duquesne Dukes | 56c | 237.94$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.39 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed VCU Rams | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d22bbacked VCU Rams | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed VCU Rams | 38c | 178.07$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed VCU Rams | 48c | 167.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Duquesne Dukes | 53c | 128.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Duquesne Dukes | 51c | 99.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Duquesne Dukes | 32c | 73.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Duquesne Dukes | 32c | 61.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed VCU Rams | 50c | 60.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Duquesne Dukes | 55c | 55.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked VCU Rams | 25c | 49.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Duquesne Dukes | 51c | 46.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked VCU Rams | 41c | 42.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Duquesne Dukes | 50c | 40.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed VCU Rams | 50c | 33.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Duquesne Dukes | 50c | 30.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Duquesne Dukes | 74c | 21.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: VCU Rams (-8.5)this page
- Duquesne Dukes vs. VCU RamsVCU Rams won
- Duquesne Dukes vs. VCU Rams: O/U 146.5Under won
- Duquesne Dukes vs. VCU Rams: O/U 147.5Under won
- Duquesne Dukes vs. VCU Rams: O/U 148.5Under won
- Duquesne Dukes vs. VCU Rams: O/U 149.5Under won
- Duquesne Dukes vs. VCU Rams: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: VCU Rams (-11.5)Duquesne Dukes won
- Spread: VCU Rams (-5.5)Duquesne Dukes won
- Spread: VCU Rams (-9.5)Duquesne Dukes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.