Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Prizmic (-1.5) vs Humbert (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41df1feeef186617cb5c5cd28d0c68e248f87d7a13fbf6b79327124cce0b8828
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Prizmicof Prizmic, Humbert
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Humbert | 50c | 1,102$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.95 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Prizmic | 50c | 1,009$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.81 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Prizmic | 51c | 856.94$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.28 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Prizmic | 48c | 839.89$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.21 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Prizmic | 50c | 802.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.2 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Humbert | 50c | 697.2$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.6 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Humbert | 48c | 637.92$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.29 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…b5c5backed Humbert | 54c | 463.87$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Humbert | 52c | 454.81$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…ef2fbacked Humbert | 53c | 313.04$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.99 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Humbert | 51c | 300.19$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.04 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Humbert | 52c | 280.94$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.48 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Prizmic | 47c | 251.61$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.32 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Prizmic | 50c | 220.77$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Prizmic | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Humbert | 54c | 185.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Prizmic | 46c | 147.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Prizmic | 46c | 107.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Humbert | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Humbert | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Humbert | 52c | 89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Humbert | 53c | 75.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Humbert | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bb…f258backed Prizmic | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Humbert | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Humbert | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Prizmic (-1.5) vs Humbert (+1.5)this page
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Dino PrizmicDino Prizmic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.