Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41e934dccbe2f440d01b0f031d2d4ff1237891bef5fd4c05c17f4f25e146b758
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Okhdood SCof Al Nassr Saudi Club, Al Okhdood SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 51c | 1,381$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Al Okhdood SC | 49c | 930.35$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.48 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Al Okhdood SC | 49c | 906.12$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.12 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 52c | 874.04$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.77 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Al Okhdood SC | 48c | 664.35$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Al Okhdood SC | 43c | 555$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.35 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 61c | 550.18$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.02 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Al Okhdood SC | 52c | 501.76$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Al Okhdood SC | 46c | 481.67$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.29 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Al Okhdood SC | 36c | 411$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.04 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 56c | 379.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 49c | 324.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Al Okhdood SC | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Al Okhdood SC | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 56c | 270.58$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.91 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Al Okhdood SC | 48c | 266$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.32 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Al Okhdood SC | 46c | 215.8$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 49c | 210.45$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 61c | 183.16$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.12 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 58c | 103.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Al Okhdood SC | 49c | 87.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 374 | 59.1%221 W · 153 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 57c | 87.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Al Okhdood SC | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 57c | 35.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 58c | 34.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 58c | 34.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 58c | 34.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 58c | 34.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 58c | 34.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 58c | 34.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 58c | 34.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 58c | 34.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Al Okhdood SC | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…7c4fbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 49c | 20.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)this page
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.