Tennis · resolved market
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Priscilla Hon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41ed8d0272391b0f7d97d70298b88395f26c104a27e1aac9e28f8b668507f4f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexandra Ealaof Alexandra Eala, Priscilla Hon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Priscilla Hon | 11c | 6,265$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.2 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Priscilla Hon | 18c | 2,300$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Priscilla Hon | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Priscilla Hon | 6c | 1,507$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Priscilla Hon | 19c | 1,320$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Priscilla Hon | 12c | 1,109$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.14 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Priscilla Hon | 21c | 1,038$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.3 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Priscilla Hon | 18c | 994.44$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ad…a26ebacked Priscilla Hon | 1c | 993.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Priscilla Hon | 19c | 963.16$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 107 | 22.4%24 W · 83 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Priscilla Hon | 5c | 905$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…eea5backed Priscilla Hon | 4c | 800$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Alexandra Eala | 79c | 662.54$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.13 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Priscilla Hon | 4c | 364$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 569 | 27.2%155 W · 414 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Priscilla Hon | 8c | 355.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 321 | 31.2%100 W · 221 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Priscilla Hon | 17c | 294.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Priscilla Hon | 18c | 240$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Priscilla Hon | 18c | 216.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Alexandra Eala | 79c | 211$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 900 | 64.3%579 W · 321 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4b…e5a8backed Priscilla Hon | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…2a2bbacked Priscilla Hon | 18c | 169.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fd…f553backed Priscilla Hon | 18c | 142.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Priscilla Hon | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 871 | 35.4%308 W · 563 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e8…2a0dbacked Priscilla Hon | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…41dfbacked Alexandra Eala | 79c | 92.03$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Priscilla Hon | 14c | 80.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc28…9633backed Priscilla Hon | 19c | 70.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Alexandra Eala | 79c | 68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 904 | 59.5%538 W · 366 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Priscilla Hon | 19c | 61.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Priscilla Hon | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.