NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4236d68003ebce2ca55d82c0eb959bf0da378da393c609fbb9fe928630b511b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Flyers, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flyers | 16c | 16,610$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.69 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Devils | 75c | 3,493$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.53 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Flyers | 25c | 1,671$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.65 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Devils | 75c | 1,630$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.81 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers | 2c | 1,287$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Devils | 61c | 1,048$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.6 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Flyers | 39c | 1,000$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.3 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Devils | 65c | 853.85$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.85 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Flyers | 44c | 822.83$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Flyers | 28c | 699.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…206abacked Devils | 63c | 639.31$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Devils | 63c | 594.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.15 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Devils | 63c | 529.58$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.94 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers | 37c | 504.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.6 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Devils | 62c | 379.02$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.24 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Flyers | 38c | 373.47$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers | 36c | 256.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.51 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Flyers | 5c | 215$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Devils | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Devils | 64c | 156.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed Flyers | 37c | 154.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Flyers | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Devils | 71c | 133.78$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d45bbacked Flyers | 39c | 132.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9be3backed Flyers | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Devils | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…21a7backed Flyers | 38c | 120.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3789…a08abacked Flyers | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Flyers | 38c | 102.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Flyers | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Flyers | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Flyers | 36c | 99.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Flyers | 36c | 99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…f271backed Flyers | 37c | 89.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…459fbacked Devils | 64c | 89.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…e3a4backed Devils | 64c | 84.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…bed5backed Devils | 63c | 83.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…b387backed Flyers | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Devils | 62c | 78.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…c00dbacked Devils | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Devils | 63c | 73.84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb205…5fbbbacked Devils | 64c | 71.61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef79…251ebacked Devils | 63c | 70.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Flyers | 38c | 66.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Flyers | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Devils | 62c | 52.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Flyers | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…79a1backed Devils | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Devils | 62c | 40.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Devils | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…241ebacked Devils | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Devils | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Devils | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8113…0a81backed Flyers | 38c | 37.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eea…34a1backed Devils | 61c | 36.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…b88abacked Flyers | 37c | 35.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…3607backed Flyers | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Devils | 61c | 34.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…9a77backed Devils | 61c | 34.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Flyers | 36c | 34.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803d…0229backed Flyers | 39c | 34.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Devils | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Devils | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2680…65dabacked Devils | 61c | 31.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…fdf9backed Flyers | 36c | 28.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e2…b89abacked Devils | 64c | 28.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…d120backed Flyers | 38c | 26.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6a…4bc6backed Devils | 63c | 26.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…76cbbacked Devils | 61c | 25.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce8…4307backed Devils | 63c | 23.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9119…63aabacked Devils | 62c | 23.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5d…cb08backed Devils | 63c | 20.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…4036backed Devils | 64c | 19.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…5f0bbacked Devils | 61c | 17.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.