Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Liberty Flames (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x423c9d8ec4b2959697d33c83f84fb71397dba167287b1be327eabb300c4f3524
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kennesaw State Owlsof Liberty Flames, Kennesaw State Owls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Kennesaw State Owls | 52c | 1,561$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.33 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Liberty Flames | 48c | 999.17$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.6 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Kennesaw State Owls | 52c | 957.56$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.24 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Liberty Flames | 55c | 899.88$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Liberty Flames | 51c | 578.22$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Kennesaw State Owls | 56c | 354.78$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Kennesaw State Owls | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kennesaw State Owls | 49c | 118.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Liberty Flames | 52c | 95.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kennesaw State Owls | 45c | 93.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Liberty Flames | 53c | 73.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Liberty Flames | 48c | 61.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Kennesaw State Owls | 53c | 52.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Liberty Flames | 49c | 50.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kennesaw State Owls | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Kennesaw State Owls | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Liberty Flames | 48c | 29.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Liberty Flames | 50c | 29.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Kennesaw State Owls | 48c | 29.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Liberty Flames | 53c | 25.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Liberty Flames (-1.5)this page
- Liberty Flames vs. Kennesaw State OwlsKennesaw State Owls won
- Liberty Flames vs. Kennesaw State Owls: O/U 153.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.