NHL · resolved market
DEL: Grizzlys Wolfsburg vs. Koelner Haie
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x427c2e38d286bc4096f3dfcb0a37cb45927182a39ae173f257cae24d1814e177
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzlys Wolfsburgof Grizzlys Wolfsburg, Koelner Haie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,883 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Koelner Haie | 56c | 3,790$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.92 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 46c | 1,112$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.15 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Koelner Haie | 54c | 1,031$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.8 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 43c | 841$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.37 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 45c | 555$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 43c | 462.75$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.75 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 46c | 336.95$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.79 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 45c | 328.48$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.78 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 45c | 300.93$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.31 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 45c | 204.44$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.44 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 43c | 190$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Koelner Haie | 56c | 189.44$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 47c | 164.38$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 48c | 153.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 44c | 121.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 49c | 113.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Koelner Haie | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Koelner Haie | 54c | 109.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Koelner Haie | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 44c | 76.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 45c | 65.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Koelner Haie | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Koelner Haie | 57c | 52.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…0855backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 44c | 44.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…2dd5backed Koelner Haie | 50c | 40.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Koelner Haie | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66f1…d9cebacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 49c | 32.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 47c | 22.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.