Premier League · resolved market
Oxford United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42828b0eb40dcb02d9362186e9ff2bfa4a4d32e56a4c06a7b1c61323daae3206
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 43c | 4,654$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.22 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 52c | 2,596$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.15 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 2,552$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.55 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 1,640$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.78 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 52c | 1,040$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.2 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…02d8backed Over | 49c | 1,016$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.98 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 759.32$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.88 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 55c | 414$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 146.76$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 14c | 142.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Under | 51c | 139.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 55c | 82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 45c | 82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 48c | 70.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 44c | 45.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 57.6%144 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433d…f9e8backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 54c | 31.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 54c | 30.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | -12.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 255 | 60%153 W · 102 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 55c | 25.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…390cbacked Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oxford United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Oxford United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Oxford United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Oxford United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Oxford United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Oxford United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.