Premier League · resolved market
Oxford United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97412a45473455ad5abe75dfa4266045ba435d33ff032032bcf8255bffb585ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Under | 40c | 1,065$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.8 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 648.66$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.93 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 62c | 464.22$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.01 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 428.58$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.96 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 61c | 392.16$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.22 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb4…d79fbacked Over | 75c | 271.72$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 71c | 111.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 74c | 100.72$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 14c | 99.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 30c | 90.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 27c | 64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 52.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Under | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 71c | 35.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 250 | 57.6%144 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 70c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over | 70c | 31.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…eb3dbacked Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566f…8f86backed Over | 71c | 28.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…effdbacked Over | 71c | 27.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…390cbacked Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…cbe8backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 63c | 15.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oxford United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5this page
- Oxford United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Oxford United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Oxford United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Oxford United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Oxford United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.