Tennis · resolved market
Miyazaki: Maximus Jones vs Fajing Sun
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x428aa26772e0e564d5fa23ea083d51c96b5d60343c33b9ab5240bba43b5bb082
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maximus Jonesof Maximus Jones, Fajing Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Fajing Sun | 6c | 6,535$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.11 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Maximus Jones | 74c | 4,968$3,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.73 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maximus Jones | 63c | 2,161$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.24 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Fajing Sun | 30c | 1,101$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.23 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Fajing Sun | 24c | 1,101$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Maximus Jones | 63c | 979.66$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.06 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fajing Sun | 33c | 964.59$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.56 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5f…6cecbacked Fajing Sun | 55c | 901.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 277 | 49.8%138 W · 139 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Maximus Jones | 40c | 581.71$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.89 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Fajing Sun | 32c | 534$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.58 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x627f…06dcbacked Maximus Jones | 69c | 450.17$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.56 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Maximus Jones | 41c | 350$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Fajing Sun | 29c | 324.02$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Maximus Jones | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Fajing Sun | 19c | 249.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad2…22e0backed Fajing Sun | 58c | 229.31$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maximus Jones | 80c | 222.75$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Maximus Jones | 51c | 205.39$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Fajing Sun | 60c | 203.33$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Fajing Sun | 20c | 192.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 103 | 17.5%18 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Maximus Jones | 42c | 177.39$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.16 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Fajing Sun | 71c | 176.76$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Maximus Jones | 42c | 172.83$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Fajing Sun | 58c | 172.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Fajing Sun | 67c | 167.16$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Fajing Sun | 19c | 167.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Maximus Jones | 29c | 126.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Fajing Sun | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Fajing Sun | 36c | 118.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Fajing Sun | 23c | 109.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Maximus Jones | 64c | 105.49$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Maximus Jones | 69c | 105.16$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fajing Sun | 31c | 104.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Fajing Sun | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Fajing Sun | 57c | 95.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…205cbacked Fajing Sun | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Fajing Sun | 59c | 87.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Fajing Sun | 59c | 86.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Maximus Jones | 41c | 80.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maximus Jones | 58c | 73.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Fajing Sun | 37c | 63.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Fajing Sun | 58c | 62.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Fajing Sun | 36c | 52.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed Fajing Sun | 54c | 47.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 313 | 58.5%183 W · 130 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Maximus Jones | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maximus Jones | 33c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Fajing Sun | 46c | 41.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Fajing Sun | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 528 | 54.9%290 W · 238 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Maximus Jones | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Maximus Jones | 41c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…f2aabacked Fajing Sun | 70c | 33.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91af…40bdbacked Fajing Sun | 41c | 29.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Fajing Sun | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…cc64backed Fajing Sun | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Fajing Sun | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…2c9bbacked Fajing Sun | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 177 | 61%108 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.