South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42b0fcedcab3463543b5524a8c2936829d809c8b172e0c924b7227aa989f1b2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 13c | 2,527$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.46 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 37c | 1,355$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 13c | 552.42$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 36c | 443.42$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.63 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked No | 73c | 341.05$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…4c59backed Yes | 12c | 275$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 22cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd1…917ebacked Yes | 24c | 236.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 78c | 230.28$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 221.89$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 65c | 199.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 64c | 189.31$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 24c | 158.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed No | 66c | 151.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…ca52backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 25c | 132.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked Yes | 32c | 115$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0179…adcdbacked No | 65c | 108.31$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…388ebacked No | 77c | 102.61$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 37c | 100.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…8086backed Yes | 15c | 100.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 68c | 97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 51c | 92.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 24c | 83.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 67.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 20c | 62.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 50.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed No | 71c | 50.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…7f6cbacked Yes | 33c | 48.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 25c | 48.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 64c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 27c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…613ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 65c | 36.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 65c | 32.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 75c | 14.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Internacional win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Coritiba FBC vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.