South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Banfield win on 2026-08-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42b8ba84d4cea07a467f66e715b6d52ad0f6df40a01ac50718ceac18f4b61038
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 4,617$3,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.2 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 23c | 4,198$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.63 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Yes | 8c | 1,757$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.67 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 31c | 1,609$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 33c | 1,373$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.04 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed No | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 3c | 641.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 451.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 71c | 407.56$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.45 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 34c | 379.38$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 376.52$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 26c | 281$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 76c | 231.33$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.84 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 15c | 199.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 73c | 186$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 66c | 175$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 11c | 160.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 66c | 152.38$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 73c | 138.35$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Yes | 23c | 84.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 73c | 76.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 66c | 70.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 76c | 45.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 73c | 38.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 30.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 73c | 14.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Banfield win on 2026-08-01?this page
- Will AA Estudiantes vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-08-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.