Lol · resolved market
LoL: Valerion vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42ce59cbeceb83a40140f67761481439ca594ae6545ec7b6b2051eeee3d6cad9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valerionof Valerion, WLGaming Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ac3…6ec2backed WLGaming Esports | 50c | 1,235$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.81 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…d4d1backed Valerion | 57c | 1,125$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.75 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Valerion | 77c | 799.95$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 418 | 63.2%264 W · 154 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…9536backed Valerion | 50c | 660.93$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.86 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceae…8e45backed WLGaming Esports | 17c | 566.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked WLGaming Esports | 7c | 451.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 1,482 | 13%192 W · 1,290 L | -118.0wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…61c3backed Valerion | 50c | 403.66$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.83 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed WLGaming Esports | 50c | 321.83$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 2,608 | 39.7%1,035 W · 1,573 L | -84.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed WLGaming Esports | 19c | 232$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 680 | 43.1%293 W · 387 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WLGaming Esports | 32c | 231.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 2,845 | 41.4%1,178 W · 1,667 L | -14.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked WLGaming Esports | 27c | 220.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Valerion | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1,437 | 43.6%627 W · 810 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…1543backed WLGaming Esports | 9c | 159.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed WLGaming Esports | 32c | 154.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 1,213 | 39.6%480 W · 733 L | -44.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Valerion | 50c | 133.6$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 413 | 56.9%235 W · 178 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7e…3b4fbacked WLGaming Esports | 49c | 121.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked WLGaming Esports | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed WLGaming Esports | 29c | 105.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed WLGaming Esports | 49c | 102.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 651 | 40.2%262 W · 389 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…9f0cbacked WLGaming Esports | 34c | 90.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Valerion | 74c | 88.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 1,383 | 47.4%655 W · 728 L | -35.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked WLGaming Esports | 23c | 69.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 730 | 59.7%436 W · 294 L | +79.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked WLGaming Esports | 51c | 68.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed WLGaming Esports | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed Valerion | 78c | 49.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 468 | 55.8%261 W · 207 L | +26.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…caf8backed WLGaming Esports | 45c | 44.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 189 | 60.3%114 W · 75 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…65dbbacked Valerion | 69c | 43.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed WLGaming Esports | 29c | 42.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1,273 | 40%509 W · 764 L | -69.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb900…91ffbacked Valerion | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Valerion | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 275 | 55.6%153 W · 122 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Valerion | 64c | 20.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2f…0115backed WLGaming Esports | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 396 | 55.1%218 W · 178 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…0d3ebacked Valerion | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Valerion vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Valerion vs WLGaming Esports (BO5) - HLL PlayoffsValerion won
- LoL: Valerion vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 WinnerValerion won
- LoL: Valerion vs WLGaming Esports - Game 3 WinnerValerion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.