Lol · resolved market
LoL: Valerion vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5266201363edfaf1ea9d3d47c55b153baf4486159c7b725f109ea3de117f8911
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valerionof Valerion, WLGaming Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked WLGaming Esports | 15c | 823.93$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.59 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +29.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked WLGaming Esports | 32c | 757.16$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.89 | 194 | 43.8%85 W · 109 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x466b…7fd3backed WLGaming Esports | 19c | 426.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755f…2cffbacked WLGaming Esports | 20c | 375.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 275 | 62.2%171 W · 104 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Valerion | 79c | 354$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 233 | 44.6%104 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked WLGaming Esports | 11c | 299.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,482 | 13%192 W · 1,290 L | -118.0wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…8cc4backed WLGaming Esports | 15c | 230.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 439 | 50.3%221 W · 218 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed WLGaming Esports | 11c | 226.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 1,893 | 39.8%754 W · 1,139 L | -68.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked WLGaming Esports | 12c | 217.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 730 | 59.7%436 W · 294 L | +79.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d3…c2c0backed WLGaming Esports | 15c | 211.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked WLGaming Esports | 14c | 211.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 727 | 15.1%110 W · 617 L | -32.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x998f…9eb5backed WLGaming Esports | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed WLGaming Esports | 22c | 197$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed WLGaming Esports | 17c | 183.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 229 | 28.8%66 W · 163 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Valerion | 79c | 160.57$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 430 | 69.5%299 W · 131 L | +35.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed WLGaming Esports | 12c | 134.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1,609 | 55.4%892 W · 717 L | +84.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x456d…adf4backed WLGaming Esports | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed WLGaming Esports | 16c | 107.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 468 | 55.8%261 W · 207 L | +26.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…9223backed WLGaming Esports | 23c | 103.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Valerion | 76c | 100.91$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 248 | 67.3%167 W · 81 L | +35.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed Valerion | 69c | 86.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed WLGaming Esports | 31c | 80.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…f0a3backed Valerion | 74c | 74.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 119 | 63%75 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed WLGaming Esports | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 336 | 41.1%138 W · 198 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84e3…395bbacked WLGaming Esports | 22c | 46.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Valerion | 75c | 41.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 220 | 60%132 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed Valerion | 74c | 40.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…db2ebacked Valerion | 74c | 39.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…d4d1backed Valerion | 66c | 37.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…5eb7backed Valerion | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Valerion | 64c | 23.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 920 | 37.5%345 W · 575 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2f…0115backed Valerion | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 396 | 55.1%218 W · 178 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…0d3ebacked Valerion | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5a…edf2backed Valerion | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Valerion vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Valerion vs WLGaming Esports (BO5) - HLL PlayoffsValerion won
- LoL: Valerion vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 WinnerValerion won
- LoL: Valerion vs WLGaming Esports - Game 3 WinnerValerion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.