Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kayseri: Kateryna Lazarenko vs Leilany Ipunesso
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4325f6603de1d8dad86b2d66349cb5083fa71ec0e10dcf81872e50cca232c629
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leilany Ipunessoof Kateryna Lazarenko, Leilany Ipunesso
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Kateryna Lazarenko | 58c | 4,237$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.47 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leilany Ipunesso | 44c | 1,549$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.83 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leilany Ipunesso | 35c | 1,059$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.27 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Leilany Ipunesso | 44c | 772.04$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.43 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Kateryna Lazarenko | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Kateryna Lazarenko | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Kateryna Lazarenko | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Kateryna Lazarenko | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…2a8ebacked Kateryna Lazarenko | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…9b19backed Kateryna Lazarenko | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Kateryna Lazarenko | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Leilany Ipunesso | 45c | 348$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.56 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Leilany Ipunesso | 44c | 305.59$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.53 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kateryna Lazarenko | 56c | 253.94$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Leilany Ipunesso | 46c | 168.2$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.46 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Leilany Ipunesso | 46c | 130.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Leilany Ipunesso | 47c | 91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kateryna Lazarenko | 70c | 73.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Leilany Ipunesso | 48c | 70.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kateryna Lazarenko | 52c | 62.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kateryna Lazarenko | 51c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kateryna Lazarenko | 31c | 54.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kateryna Lazarenko | 47c | 53.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Leilany Ipunesso | 44c | 47.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Leilany Ipunesso | 41c | 42.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Leilany Ipunesso | 27c | 39.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Leilany Ipunesso | 49c | 35.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…6684backed Leilany Ipunesso | 65c | 31.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Kateryna Lazarenko | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Leilany Ipunesso | 41c | 29.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Leilany Ipunesso | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 126 | 58.7%74 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Leilany Ipunesso | 66c | 25.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Leilany Ipunesso | 44c | 22.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Kateryna Lazarenko | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.