Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x438589c6dd56fccdf38cf9c6b406a615ea4b801abf0b067712aa7cf60c38626c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Rolster Challengersof KT Rolster Challengers, HANJIN BRION Challengers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked KT Rolster Challengers | 50c | 1,986$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.15 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 50c | 767.08$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.54 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed KT Rolster Challengers | 47c | 369.14$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.79 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 50c | 318.97$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.48 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed KT Rolster Challengers | 50c | 310.4$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.2 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 51c | 280.58$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed KT Rolster Challengers | 47c | 206.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed KT Rolster Challengers | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 49c | 137.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed KT Rolster Challengers | 63c | 124.1$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…fcacbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 37c | 106.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…2398backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 36c | 99.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked KT Rolster Challengers | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 53c | 91.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 54c | 89.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked KT Rolster Challengers | 51c | 38.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed KT Rolster Challengers | 49c | 36.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 317 | 50.8%161 W · 156 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 51c | 30.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed KT Rolster Challengers | 64c | 29.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…bb4abacked KT Rolster Challengers | 49c | 25.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 50c | 25.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 47c | 24.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 53c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 48c | 21.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed KT Rolster Challengers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 178 | 38.8%69 W · 109 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed KT Rolster Challengers | 74c | 19.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2KT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.