CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Rare Atom - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x438d3a2674a8bc4995010e583cce1a68bbd1a4325a0bda97c7814d6221015c7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof GamerLegion, Rare Atom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rare Atom | 48c | 5,188$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.38 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Rare Atom | 19c | 2,219$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.51 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed GamerLegion | 72c | 2,200$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed GamerLegion | 33c | 1,706$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.02 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked GamerLegion | 33c | 1,394$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.94 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Rare Atom | 22c | 1,186$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.32 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed GamerLegion | 79c | 1,050$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.5 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked GamerLegion | 76c | 893.4$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.42 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed GamerLegion | 72c | 800$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed GamerLegion | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed GamerLegion | 73c | 555.93$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.86 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Rare Atom | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Rare Atom | 9c | 400.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Rare Atom | 32c | 320.21$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Rare Atom | 4c | 293.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed Rare Atom | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…452ebacked GamerLegion | 79c | 141.19$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked GamerLegion | 79c | 111.22$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad3…1ad5backed GamerLegion | 74c | 111.18$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…1b46backed GamerLegion | 76c | 103.78$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked GamerLegion | 72c | 101.94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…0c5dbacked GamerLegion | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Rare Atom | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Rare Atom | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Rare Atom | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Rare Atom | 23c | 68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19a…7e59backed GamerLegion | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed GamerLegion | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 83 | 74.7%62 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed GamerLegion | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Rare Atom - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Rare Atom (BO3)GamerLegion won
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Rare Atom - Map 1 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.