Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Max Sheldon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43b6a899091da55736c9a565aa17728374ef9731e7f70fd365debca98df00d6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdesof Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes, Max Sheldon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Max Sheldon | 45c | 21,887$9,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,831.03 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 57c | 12,651$7,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,501.02 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 55c | 2,381$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.19 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 52c | 2,055$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.4 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 52c | 590.94$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.65 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 52c | 563.4$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.43 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 52c | 563.4$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.43 | 105 | 63.8%67 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 52c | 551.69$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.16 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 63c | 485.08$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 56c | 191$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Max Sheldon | 28c | 135.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 299 | 55.2%165 W · 134 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 56c | 104$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 471 | 48.2%227 W · 244 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 418 | 51.7%216 W · 202 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 316 | 57.3%181 W · 135 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 52c | 90.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 52c | 90.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 52c | 61.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 911 | 63.9%582 W · 329 L | +66.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc7…dc5bbacked Max Sheldon | 49c | 59.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 54c | 58.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 533 | 56.7%302 W · 231 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 59c | 53.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 410 | 61.5%252 W · 158 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 52c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a3…8bf9backed Max Sheldon | 49c | 40.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 577 | 36.7%212 W · 365 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 64c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 64c | 27.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 569 | 26%148 W · 421 L | -23.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 52c | 27.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 235 | 56.6%133 W · 102 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 826 | 59.3%490 W · 336 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.