Euroleague · resolved market
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43da678bd986fb36a517d69f0b8ff5110f3bdf886e8e8f84d34fc713fbdeb696
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liaoning Flying Leopardsof Liaoning Flying Leopards, Xinjiang Flying Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 71c | 889.1$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.94 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 39c | 823.98$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.04 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 32c | 729.77$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 60c | 680$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 68c | 495.11$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.48 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 33c | 315.07$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 26c | 168$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 21c | 96.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 65c | 86.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 37c | 67.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 67c | 37.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 60c | 28.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 67c | 17.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.