Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Wu (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43ffea0abaca7f185bd3f931fc822de56965162fb6c1649f505c1e2c1db5564e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djokovicof Djokovic, Wu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Djokovic | 57c | 649.98$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.49 | 755 | 43.4%328 W · 427 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Wu | 43c | 358.14$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Djokovic | 55c | 239.42$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.74 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Djokovic | 60c | 151.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Wu | 42c | 129.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Wu | 43c | 108.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…b519backed Wu | 20c | 102.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Wu | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Wu | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Wu | 45c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Wu | 45c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Wu | 45c | 68.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Djokovic | 59c | 56.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…cc50backed Wu | 47c | 50.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…18a2backed Wu | 40c | 49.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Wu | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Wu | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Djokovic | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Djokovic | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 826 | 57.1%472 W · 354 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Djokovic | 72c | 21.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Wu (+1.5)this page
- Set 1 Winner: Wu vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 2 Winner: Wu vs DjokovicWu won
- Set 3 Winner: Wu vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Wu (+2.5)Wu won
- Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
- Wu vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Yibing Wu vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Yibing Wu vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.