Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Wu (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8820e9c33fff99d0bd9199781142c7eaf56dbbb3ac87c6f35c29a54fb600c4d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wuof Djokovic, Wu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e88…b235backed Djokovic | 51c | 4,190$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.12 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Wu | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.57 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Wu | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Wu | 49c | 418.78$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.58 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Wu | 49c | 389.42$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.05 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Wu | 41c | 320.62$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.2 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Djokovic | 65c | 305.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Wu | 49c | 271.43$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.43 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Wu | 45c | 268.34$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wu | 41c | 250$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.81 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Wu | 48c | 238.17$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.17 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Djokovic | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…aa8dbacked Djokovic | 50c | 234$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Wu | 50c | 234$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 263 | 55.1%145 W · 118 L | +36.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Wu | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Djokovic | 58c | 160$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Wu | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Wu | 40c | 144.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.44 | 494 | 47.2%233 W · 261 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4846…32e0backed Djokovic | 57c | 131.03$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Wu | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Djokovic | 55c | 100.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0b…0913backed Djokovic | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -42%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Djokovic | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Wu | 38c | 92.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Wu | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 141 | 33.3%47 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Djokovic | 73c | 88.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Wu | 49c | 76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Wu | 29c | 72.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Wu | 36c | 72.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Wu | 40c | 69.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Djokovic | 58c | 48.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…51b3backed Djokovic | 59c | 44.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 353 | 60.9%215 W · 138 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Djokovic | 60c | 43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef2…e7acbacked Djokovic | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Wu | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Djokovic | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Wu | 35c | 30.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Wu | 42c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Djokovic | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Djokovic | 62c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Djokovic | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Djokovic | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Wu | 47c | 21.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…28ffbacked Djokovic | 60c | 21.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Djokovic | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Wu (+2.5)this page
- Set 1 Winner: Wu vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 2 Winner: Wu vs DjokovicWu won
- Set 3 Winner: Wu vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Wu (+1.5)Djokovic won
- Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
- Wu vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Yibing Wu vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Yibing Wu vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.